U.S. and European stock futures and the dollar surged on Wednesday, while bitcoin jumped to a record high as Republican Donald Trump claimed victory in the U.S. presidential election.
Fox News projected that Trump has won the U.S. presidency, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris and capping a stunning political comeback four years after he left the White House. Other media outlets have yet to call the race.
Analysts generally assume Trump’s plans for restricted immigration, tax cuts and sweeping tariffs if enacted would put more upward pressure on inflation and bond yields, than rival Democrat Kamala Harris’ policies.
U.S. Treasury yields shot to four-month highs , . The dollar surged – putting it on track for its best one-day gain in over two years – while U.S. equity futures were up almost 2% , .
In early European trade, concern that higher tariffs under a Trump presidency could deal the region’s economy a fresh blow pushed the euro down 1.7% to $1.074 , while euro zone government bond yields fell sharply with German two-year bond yields down 10 basis points at 2.19% .
Money markets priced in lower European Central Bank rates meanwhile.
“For European businesses, Trump’s return to the White House would mean considerable trade policy and geopolitical uncertainty, with negative implications for growth on the continent,” said Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding.
Euro zone stock futures , however rose sharply, tracking their U.S. peers.
Japan’s Nikkei surged over 2.5% (.N225), opens new tab as the yen slid , while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS), opens new tab eased 0.9%.
While markets were still confident the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. , futures for next year eased into the red with December down 9 ticks.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes jumped to a four-month high of around 4.47%, from 4.279%, breaking last week’s top of 4.388%. Two-year yields climbed to 4.31%, from 4.189% late in New York.
“If we look at the long end of the curve, that reflects the fact that both candidates are not exactly fiscal conservatives, they’re both willing to use the fiscal printing press,” said Arnim Holzer, global macro strategist at Easterly EAB Risk Solutions.
