The U.S.-China deal revives markets and the idea of a ‘Trump put’

Over the weekend, both the U.S. and China agreed to reciprocally slash tariffs on each other for 90 days from 125% to 10%. That’s much more than expected, as Trump on Friday has said that an 80% tariff on China “seems right!” The U.S. is still keeping its 20% fentanyl-related levy on China, so the total duty on Beijing adds up to 30%.

While high, 30% is a far cry from 145%. Investors were ecstatic, and sent stocks soaring. Technology names such as Nvidia and Broadcom, as well as consumer discretionary stocks including Nike and Starbucks, rallied. The market frenzy brought to mind the “Trump put,” the notion a falling market will prompt measures from the president that prop it up.

That said, as Dario Perkins, managing director of global macro strategy at TS Lombard pointed out, it is ”(sort of) of funny that the optimistic case for Trump 2.0 is basically that it will reverse most of what it has done so far.”

A Trump put, perhaps, is just the president putting things back where they once were.